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MLB Betting Odds: Picks, trends, expert gambling advice for opening day

first_imgWatch ChangeUp, a new MLB live whip-around show on DAZNThere’s plenty of strategy that goes into putting together a winning ticket, and the best place to start is the BetQL Mobile App. Our Trending Picks and Public Betting tools are a massive advantage when you’re making bets, regardless of bankroll size. For more gambling and MLB DFS advice, follow me on Twitter (@DFSBenj).MORE ROTOQL: DFS Lineup BuilderOpening day MLB odds, picks, betting trends*All screenshots are from the BetQL Trending Value Bets Page** All lines are subject to change. The best way to stay up to date on the current lines is to become a BetQL subscriber.New York Mets at Washington NationalsPitchers: Jacob deGrom (RHP) vs. Max Scherzer (RHP)Money-Line: Mets +115/Nationals -135Run-Line: Mets +1.5 (-200)/Nationals -1.5 (+170)Total: O/U 6.5The travel down to DC to take on the Nationals in what will be the first pitchers duel of the 2019 MLB season. CY Young winners Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer will face off in a game that is tied for the lowest total on the slate. Both of these pitchers had success last season against the opposition, with deGrom going 2-1 with five earned runs and 25 strikeouts in 20.1 innings vs. Washington in three starts, and Scherzer going 1-0 with six earned runs and 18 strikeouts in 14 innings vs. New York. The Mets boosted their lineup in the offseason with the addition on IF Jed Lowrie , who is coming off a career year with the A’s. Washington meanwhile, lost star OF Bryce Harper but have an excellent roster of talented young talent, including superstars in the making Juan Soto, Victor Robles, and Trea Turner. It’s always a tough game to handicap with two ace pitchers on the mound, and the BetQL models give a very slight edge to the Mets to nab a win as +115 ML underdogs.BetQL Model Pick: Mets ML +115Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia PhilliesPitchers: Julio Teheran (RHP) vs. Aaron Nola (RHP)Money-Line: Braves +165/Phillies -195Run-Line: Braves +1.5 (-125)/Phillies -1.5 (+105)Total: O/U 8The NL East is shaping up to be one of the most competitive divisions in baseball now that the Phillies are true contenders after consecutive offseasons of upgrading their lineup with a mix of established stars (Bryce Harper and Jean Segura) and young talent (Rhys Hoskins). The Braves are the defending division champions and won’t be sneaking up on anybody like the 2018 “Baby Braves” did. This opening day matchup between these two is excellent on paper, with Braves tossing RHP Julio Teheran for his sixth straight opening day start, and Philly rolling with emerging star pitcher Aaron Nola. The home-team Phillies are rightfully the favorites in this matchup, after Teheran posted an ERA over 5.00 last season vs. PHI, but the BetQL models see a lot of value on Atlanta at +165 ML underdogs. Atlanta owned Philadelphia last season, going 12-7 straight up.BetQL Model Pick: Braves ML +165Houston Astros at Tampa Bay RaysPitchers: Justin Verlander (RHP) vs. Blake Snell (LHP)Money-Line: Astros -135/Rays +115Run-Line: Astros -1.5 (+130)/Rays +1.5 (-150)Total: O/U 6.5The pitching duel between Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer will get all of the attention in the National League, but the American League features a pitching duel that is every bit as interesting as 2018 AL CY Young winner Blake Snell takes on 2011 AL CY Young winner Justin Verlander (Verlander was the runner-up last season). Snell was absolutely dominant at home last season, posting a sub-1.50 ERA and an incredible 85-percent RotoQL consistency rating in 13 home starts. Verlander was excellent on the road last season and especially crushed early 2018, only allowing two earned runs through his first six road starts. The Astros as the better team here, but the Rays might be the most underrated team in all of baseball. Take the home underdogs with their star pitcher on the mound at plus money (+115).BetQL Model Pick: Rays ML +115Boston Red Sox at Seattle MarinersPitchers: Chris Sale (LHP) vs. Marco Gonzales (LHP)Money-Line: Red Sox -210/Mariners +175Run-Line: Red Sox -1.5 (-120)/Mariners +1.5 (+100)Total: O/U 7The Red Sox open up their World Series defense by traveling across the country to face the Mariners. This will be a matchup between two lefties, as Boston will start with Chris Sale on the mound and Seattle will opt to go wit Marco Gonzales. The Red Sox are huge favorites in this spot as -200 road ML favorites, and it’s no surprise that this game has one of the lower totals (7) on the slate given Sale being on the mound and that the Red Sox somewhat struggled as a team last season against lefthanded pitching. It’s hard not to like the Red Sox in this game with the talent disparity both on the mound and in the lineups, and the BetQL models like Boston enough to recommend taking them on the run-line at -120. BetQL Model Pick: Red Sox RL -1.5 (-120)Check out BetQL Mobile App’s Trending Picks and Public Betting tools before making all your bets, and follow me on Twitter (@DFSBenj) for even more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA daily fantasy and sports betting content. Opening day is here, and the RotoQL/BetQL team is back for another season to break down and preview the betting angles and picks you should consider for each slate of MLB games. Thursday features some excellent divisional matchups (and money line/run line/run totals), as AL East rivals New York and Baltimore go head-to-head while the Mets and Nationals square off in an early-season pitching duel between two of the best in the game in Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer.The day doesn’t let off the gas in terms of great matchups for us to target with the defending NL East Champs Braves taking on the Phillies in what will be Bryce Harper’s first regular season game with his new team. Another pitching duel looks to be taking shape in Tampa between aces Blake Snell and Justin Verlander in a game that has the joint lowest run total on the slate at only 6.5. Finally, the defending World Series Champions Red Sox start their title defense out on the West Coast against the revamped Mariners as massive -200 ML favorites with their ace Chris Sale taking the mound.last_img


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