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Whos Likely To Win The Five Big European Soccer Leagues

Since FiveThirtyEight relaunched with ESPN, we’ve created predictions for the NFL, NBA, MLB, NWSL, the men’s and women’s World Cup, college football, college basketball and tennis. Now we’re adding another set for the world’s most popular sport. Introducing: Club soccer predictions!Our new ratings — which are a revamped version of the ESPN Soccer Power Index (SPI) of national teams, adapted to the club game — use in-game player and ball-location data to assess the quality of shots and opportunities that teams generate. This gives us a better picture of performance than can be gleaned from game outcomes alone; you can read more in our full methodology here. Based on each team’s performance we calculate an offensive and defensive rating, which are used to predict the outcome of matches over the rest of the season.Right now, our predictions cover Europe’s five strongest club leagues — England’s Premier League, Spain’s La Liga, Germany’s Bundesliga, Italy’s Serie A and France’s Ligue 1 — and the Champions League. Our prediction pages are available in English and Spanish. Here’s how each league stands.Premier League Italy’s club season also started with a clear favorite, as Juventus sought its sixth-straight title. The club currently holds a one-point lead with a game in hand, and we rate Juve’s defense as the best in Serie A. AS Roma and Napoli have slightly stronger offenses and a combined 36 percent chance of winning the league. Those three teams are the favorites to take the league’s three Champions League spots as well, with Lazio and both Milan clubs capable of making spoiler runs.Ligue 1 Eintracht34<1 Sevilla94 CHANCE OF … Teams with a greater than 5 percent chance of qualifying for Champions League Real Madrid>99%49% Dortmund146 Man. United29<1 CHANCE OF … Lazio222 FC Cologne14<1 On the other side of the table, 2015-16 Cinderella Leicester City has fallen hard. While at the start of the season we projected the Foxes to finish ninth, they currently sit in 15th place, and we give them a 12 percent chance of being relegated. Swansea City, which skyrocketed from the fourth tier to the Premier League between 2005 and 2011, has a 61 percent chance of relegation.La Liga CHANCE OF … Lyon512 Teams with a greater than 5 percent chance of qualifying for Champions League Juventus93%60% Inter Milan211 Atletico Madrid68<1 Roma7823 Real Sociedad18<1 Nice471 TEAMMAKING CHAMP. LG.WINNING SERIE A Teams with a greater than 5 percent chance of qualifying for Champions League Man. City544 Napoli6413 CHANCE OF … PSG97%48% TEAMMAKING FINALWINNING CHAMP. LG. Hertha Berlin32<1 Villarreal22<1 Bayer17<1 Monaco9748 The group stage of the Champions League is behind us, with relatively few surprises. Tottenham and Dynamo Kiev probably were the two best teams eliminated: They had a 68 percent and 58 percent chance of advancing, respectively. AS Monaco and Benfica advanced in their stead.The knockout stage begins on February 14. Barcelona, which faces Paris Saint-Germain in the Round of 16, remains the favorite to win the title at 25 percent. Bayern, Real and Juventus are close behind. We give the other 12 teams just a 37 percent chance of winning, combined. Leicester City’s magic carried the club through the group stage, but its poor Premier League play has lowered its ratings. We give Leicester just a 29 percent chance of advancing past Sevilla to the quarterfinals, and a 1 percent chance of making the final.Check out our latest soccer predictions. Atletico Madrid125 Hoffenheim27<1 Barcelona43%25% Liverpool7915 CHANCE OF … Sevilla823 Bayern Munich>99%91% Real Madrid recently saw its 40-game unbeaten streak come to an end, but the club still holds a one-point lead in La Liga with a game in hand. Our ratings still consider third-place Barcelona to be the stronger team on both sides of the ball, which makes Real’s offense merely the second-best in the world. This leaves us with a neck-and-neck race for the league title, with a pivotal matchup between the two clubs looming in Madrid on April 23.Sevilla sits in second place, but we don’t expect the club to finish in first. Its goal differential is nearly half that of Real and Barcelona, and we rate Sevilla’s offense as about a goal per game worse than the other two teams’. Nevertheless, Sevilla is in good position to qualify for the Champions League by finishing in the top four in La Liga, after having qualified as the Europa League champion in each of the last two seasons.Bundesliga AC Milan11<1 Chelsea96%62% Teams with a greater than 5 percent chance of qualifying for Champions League TEAMMAKING CHAMP. LG.WINNING BUNDESLIGA TEAMMAKING CHAMP. LG.WINNING PREMIER LG. Teams with a greater than 5 percent chance of qualifying for Champions League RB Leipzig836 Bayern is in the driver’s seat here, seeking its fifth-straight Bundesliga title. RB Leipzig — which played in Germany’s second division last season but isn’t exactly a heartwarming underdog — is only three points behind in the table. Our ratings consider RB to be a much inferior team to Bayern, though, and goal differential agrees. We peg Dortmund as the second-best offense and fourth-best defense in the league, but an ugly 7-win, 6-draw, 3-loss start has the club in sixth place, with too much ground to make up.The battle for Champions League qualification is a bit more exciting. Bayern is a lock and we expect RB and Dortmund to qualify as well, but the league’s fourth spot is wide open. Hoffenheim — which narrowly avoided relegation last season — has a 27 percent chance of completing an impressive turnaround by finishing in the top four.Serie A Arsenal719 Juventus2110 Arsenal105 Paris Saint-Germain entered the 2016-17 season as a heavy favorite to win its fifth-straight league title, with our preseason projections giving PSG a 91 percent chance against its relatively weak opposition. Twenty matches in, PSG sits at third in the table with 42 points, three behind Nice and Monaco. We have ourselves a race!We expect the title battle to come down to PSG and Monaco, which are now closely matched in our ratings (with Nice considerably lower). Fourth-place Lyon has only 34 points in 19 games, but it’s also much stronger than Nice and we expect the two clubs to closely contest the league’s third Champions League spot.Champions League Napoli84 Tottenham709 Atalanta7<1 Bayern Munich2816 Real Madrid2312 Barcelona>9946 Man. City146 Dortmund803 Teams with a greater than 5 percent chance of reaching the Champions League final TEAMMAKING CHAMP. LG.WINNING LIGUE 1 CHANCE OF … Chelsea has opened up a seven-point lead on its Premier League rivals, and is threatening to run away with the title. Our ratings don’t consider the Blues to be significantly stronger than the other teams at the top of the table: We narrowly rate their defense as the league’s best, but their offense as just the third-best behind Arsenal’s and Liverpool’s. But even though Chelsea isn’t necessarily the best team in the league, seven points is a large margin with 17 games to play; we give Chelsea a 62 percent chance of taking the title. If our forecasted standings hold, both Manchester United and Manchester City will be left out of the top four for the first time in Premier League history. Who will win the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1 and the Champions League? See our predictions » TEAMMAKING CHAMP. LG.WinningLa Liga read more

How Will Porzingis And The Knicks Cope With Life After Melo

The vast majority of the attention given to the Carmelo Anthony trade has focused on Oklahoma City, and rightfully so. The Thunder, coming off a campaign in which MVP Russell Westbrook was perhaps the NBA’s loneliest franchise player, have added two All-Stars this summer and possibly positioned themselves as the top challenger to the Golden State Warriors.Meanwhile, the Knicks — the league’s most valuable club and the team on the other end of the Anthony deal — have been an afterthought in all this. The swap was one New York badly needed to make so it could fully turn the page on an era in which the Knicks haven’t secured a playoff berth in four seasons. But this new chapter without Anthony figures to present an entirely new set of questions.Chief among them: Can 22-year-old Kristaps Porzingis — who averaged 18 points a night as a second or third option — step into Anthony’s role and become the Knicks’ leading man?At first glance, the answer would appear to be yes. This past season, Porzingis became a far more efficient scorer at the rim and from midrange. He improved from 58 percent at the basket as a rookie to 70 percent in Year 2 while also jumping from 41 percent from the 10-to-16-foot range to 48 percent. He managed to get better from the 3-point stripe, too, knocking down shots from the arc at a league-average clip. And it can’t be overlooked that the 7-foot-3 big man with the skill set of a guard actually managed to shoot better when Anthony (and former MVP Derrick Rose) was off the court than when they played together.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/kpfadeaway.mp400:0000:0000:08Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/kpdrive.mp400:0000:0000:09Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.Still, that detail alone isn’t evidence that Porzingis will thrive without Anthony. In fact, when you look more closely, it appears that at least some of Porzingis’s success as a lead option stemmed from who his competition was. Specifically, he turned in some of his most accurate shooting during the first six minutes of second and fourth periods last season, per NBA Savant — times where he likely would’ve been feasting on second-string defenses.1Though it may be a coincidence, Porzingis has struggled most in his first two seasons during first quarters, when he’d likely be facing starting-level competition. By contrast, he’s shot nearly 50 percent for his career during the first six minutes of second periods, when he’d be facing backups, since the majority of NBA starters catch their breath for the first few minutes of the second quarter.That speaks to why the Knicks were just 2-16 without Anthony2And 2-11 when Porzingis played without Anthony. the past two seasons: No one else on the roster could generate offense as efficiently as Melo while also facing the sort of defensive pressure he was seeing.3While he generated a greater share of his own baskets with Anthony off the court, it’s worth noting that nearly 42 percent of Porzingis’s makes last season were assisted by Anthony, Derrick Rose or Brandon Jennings, all players who are no longer with the Knicks. That was especially the case in one-on-ones and post-ups, for which Melo has an affinity.New York scored on 47 percent of Anthony’s one-on-one plays and came away with at least one point when he was aggressively double-teamed in the post 43 percent of the time, according to Synergy Sports. The Knicks scored on just 34 percent of Porzingis’s one-on-ones and were successful just 23 percent of the time — for a measly 0.57 points per play — when opponents sent hard double-teams at him in the post. A lot can be attributed to Porzingis’s need to develop more lower-body strength and establish better position, as he often catches the ball way too far from the paint to back down his man.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/badearlyshot.mp400:0000:0000:14Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.Video Playerhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/porzingistoofarout.mp400:0000:0000:13Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.None of this is to suggest that Porzingis — the rare budding star who has as much defensive ability as offensive ability — isn’t capable of eventually being the centerpiece of a team. At this point, he should be the least of the Knicks’ worries; the club should be using this coming season to figure out who to slot next to him going forward.However, that open-tryout mentality will be complicated by the current roster configuration, as the Knicks are currently heavy on bigs they need to find playing time for. Enes Kanter (acquired in the trade), Willy Hernangomez and Kyle O’Quinn are all talented, but figure to create a logjam at center if they all make it to opening night. The presence of 32-year-old Joakim Noah, who has three years left on one of the NBA’s worst contracts, doesn’t help matters, either.A trade to move one of them — and possibly veteran swingman Courtney Lee, who deserves an opportunity to latch on with a contender rather than taking part in a rebuild — would make sense. Ideally, the Knicks would use those returns to get future draft picks and a young player or two who can defend, since Kanter, Doug McDermott (also acquired in the Melo deal) and Tim Hardaway Jr. are all solid scorers while being subpar on the other side of the ball. New York, which has ranked in the bottom 10 on defense for 11 of the last 15 seasons, will need to find some sense of balance — a process that will likely take the better part of the next few years as these players figure themselves out.But even if the next couple seasons are marked by growing pains, at least the Knicks can finally turn their attention to roster development instead of wondering how to make the failed marriage with Anthony work. read more

Jaguar Land Rovers sensory steering wheel uses temperature to send messages

first_img 2019 Audi RS5 Sportback review: Goody two-shoes “Research has shown people readily understand the heating and cooling dynamics to denote directions and the subtlety of temperature change can be perfect for certain feedback that doesn’t require a more intrusive audio or vibration-based cue,” said Alexandros Mouzakitis, JLR’s senior manager for electrical research, in a statement.In the future, this system might have a hand in self-driving vehicles, too. The automaker said that it’s also adapted this temperature-shifting technology to work with gear shift paddles, which could inform a driver that the swap between human and computer control is complete. Post a comment Review • 2020 Land Rover Range Rover Evoque review: Style, now with more substance Share your voice Jaguar Land Rover 2:24 More about 2020 Land Rover Range Rover Evoque Land Rover Jaguar Preview • 2020 Range Rover Evoque first drive: Stylish SUV packs X-ray vision 2019 Lamborghini Urus review: Part SUV, part supercar 5 things you need to know about the 2020 Land Rover Range… Hey, neat, more pictures of the new Land Rover Defender Tags Auto Tech Future Cars More From Roadshow 13 Photos We’ve had haptic feedback in steering wheels for years now, and it’s a great way to notify the driver of a lane departure or whatever without requiring them to stare at a visual alert. Now, Jaguar Land Rover is taking it one step further by bringing temperature into the equation.Jaguar Land Rover this week unveiled its “sensory steering wheel concept.” Developed with the help of Glasgow University, the automaker is investigating whether using heating and cooling can alert drivers to less pertinent information. This wouldn’t replace haptic feedback, but rather it would create a lower-priority tier of messages with its own unique notification method.Here’s how it works. Each side of the steering wheel can be heated or cooled by up to 10.8 degrees Fahrenheit, and the rate of change is adjustable to suit the driver’s preference. It could alert drivers of an upcoming turn in either direction, when to change lanes or if there’s poor visibility ahead. For things requiring much more pertinent notifications, like a lane departure, haptic feedback is still faster and more efficient for communication. Now playing: Watch this: 0 2019 McLaren 600LT: Balanced and bonkerslast_img read more

In step with Mother Earth

first_imgTheme of her dance was Bhumi – the four pillars of mother nature which she performed on Indian classical music. The background score for the show was done by musician Jayant Luthra.Prema took three years to script Bhumi, while she acquired perfection through Natya Nectar. Her dance was devoted to spirituality and mother nature. The dance basically portrays the four elements of nature – air, water, earth and fire which are basics to sustain human life. Also Read – ‘Playing Jojo was emotionally exhausting’‘I feel as though I am an instrument and dance is being channelised through my body. I see dance as service to the divine, a language to express my truths and love for God and his creations. Dance is my voice in this lifetime,’ said Prema. She hopes to match in her endeavour, to take productions like the Mahabharata, the Ramayana and Bhumi to a global audience.As she aspires to the electric stage presence, grace, precision and exquisite choreography skilled through Natya Nectar. The classically trained Kathak dancer, acrobatic aerialist and yoga teacher trains her dancers from a perspective of prayer and meditation.Her production Natya Nectar Dance Company blends classical Indian dance forms with acro yoga and aerial aasanas.Bhumi is a collaborative experience which weaved together fashion and Indian classical dance. Prema adds ‘Being my choreographic debut production, it is very close to my heart.’last_img read more

Bengal polls Independent candidates supporter killed TMC leader held

first_imgKolkata: A supporter of an Independent candidate for the coming panchayat polls was killed in West Bengal’s Bhangar on Friday, following which police arrested local strongman of the ruling Trinamool Congress Arabul Islam.Hafizul Molla (26), a resident of Bhangar’s Machibhanga in South 24 Parganas district, died after an armed attack on a political rally brought out by the “Jomi, Jibika, Bastutantra O Poribesh Raksha Committee” (committee to protect land, livelihood, ecology and environment)’, which has been leading a movement against the construction of a power grid sub-station in the area. Also Read – Heavy rain hits traffic, flightsBhangar has been on the boil for over a year now on the issue of construction of the sub-station.According to the leaders of Jomi, Jibika, Bastutantra O Poribesh Raksha Committee, the deceased was shot in the head while walking in the rally, taken out in support of the Independent candidates backed by the committee for the polls.”Hafizul Molla, a resident of Bhangar’s Machibhanga has been shot dead allegedly while walking in a rally taken out by the committee in Polerhaat-2 in South 24 Parganas district’s Kashipur,” Sarmistha Chowdhury, leader of CPI-ML Red Star, that has been backing the movement, told IANS. Also Read – Speeding Jaguar crashes into Merc, 2 B’deshi bystanders killed”The attack was conducted by a group of miscreants backed by local Trinamool Congress leader Arabul Islam, who opened fire and hurled bombs at the rally,” she said.Following the killing, a huge contingent of state police launched raids at various pockets in the area in search of Islam and his associates.Arabul was finally arrested at around 10.30 p.m from a field behind his residence at Gazipur, said Baruipur Superintendent of Police Arijit Sinha. According to Sinha, Arabul — a former MLA — was nabbed by the police after tracking his mobile location.Meanwhile, Chowdhury said a local resistance group called “Bhangar Andolan Sanghati Committee” would hold a rally on Saturday from Kolkata’s Moulali to Esplanade to protest the killing.Nine Independent candidates backed by the local committee and the ultra-left parties are contesting in eight Gram Panchayat and one Panchayat Samiti seats in Bhangar after the Calcutta High Court directed the State Election Commission to accept their nomination papers submitted through WhatsApp, as they were allegedly physically restrained from completing the paperwork.last_img read more